Donnerstag, 9. Juni 2011

Shaw Capital Management News: Visa lottery scams: Another cautionary tale | Shaw Capital Management News


Maya Kara and Bruce Mailman
We have written repeatedly about pervasive, pernicious false rumors and outright frauds in the immigration context. People seeking admission to the United States are an especially vulnerable group. Like women seeking enhanced beauty and men seeking greater potency, they are seeking something that is difficult and often impossible to attain. They are susceptible to the unscrupulous who would divest them of their money with false promises that they are eager to believe. The old adage remains useful: if something sounds too good to be true, it’s probably false. The latest immigration scam that has come to our attention is visa lottery fraud.


How visa lottery fraud works
A long time client, for whom we had gotten a green card and who is petitioning her alien husband for the same, called us recently. She was so excited. “I have great news,” she said. “My husband applied for visa lottery and we just got an email that he won. As soon as he sends them money, he will get a green card and he can sponsor his entire family. I just wanted to give you the good news.” I told her I was happy for her but to not send any money until I checked it out because I suspected it might be a scam. I also asked her for the email address of the notification.
It turns out that this is a very popular fraud. A company, pretending to be a U.S. government entity, contacts you by email and tells you that you have a great opportunity to sign up for a visa lottery. There is no charge to sign up. Sometime later, they contact you by email to inform you of your good fortune: You have won! Now all you need to do is send a certain amount of money and your green card will be processed. Send more money, and your entire family gets a visa. Break out the champagne!
Or not. This is a fraud, pure and simple. The only purpose of this “notification” is to get as much money out of you as possible before you finally wake up to the sad fact that you have been had. There is very little you can do to make this right or to get your money back. Internet scams are very difficult for the U.S. government to prosecute; these companies set up in various countries and the scammers are very hard to find. The whole field of criminal prosecutions for Internet offenses is unsettled.
How you can identify visa fraud
The first thing you need to look for is the email address. Official U.S. government websites always have email addresses that end in the domain suffix “.gov.” Some useful U.S. government websites include:
-U.S. Embassy and Consulates: http://www.usembassy.gov/
-Department of State, Travel: http://www.travel.state.gov/
-Diversity Visa Lottery: http://www.dvlottery.state.gov
-Department of Homeland Security: http://www.dhs.gov
-Citizenship & Immigration Services: http://www.uscis.gov
-Customs and Border Protection: http://www.cbp.gov
-Immigration & Customs Enforcement: http://www.ice.gov
-Department of Labor: http://www.doleta.gov
You need to be suspicious of any email communication you receive from a purported U.S. government agency that does not end in the suffix “.gov” especially if it involves assistance with visas to enter or obtain status in the United States. Many of these websites look very genuine and official and will feature one of the following: the American flag, the Statue of Liberty, the White House; U.S. Capitol. Be suspicious of anything that promises something of great value for free or for little money. If it claims to be from a government agency and the email address ends in “.com,” “.net” or “.org” or anything except “.gov,” you have most likely been targeted for a rip-off.
The U.S. Department of State maintains an excellent webpage titled “International Financial Scams” on the International Travel” tab at http://www.travel.state.gov/. This webpage has excellent up-to-date information on international financial frauds involving Internet dating, false inheritances, work permits, overpayment, and money laundering (“Nigerian scam”).


How the real U.S. Diversity Visa Program came about
The Diversity Visa Program is a government-operated lottery set up by statute to allocate 50,000 immigrant visas per year outside of the ordinary numerical limits for visas under the Immigration & Nationality Act. Historically, the majority of immigrants to the U.S. were from European countries. Until 1965, immigrant visas were granted to citizens of various countries in proportion to the national origins of the U.S. population in 1920. This policy continued to favor European immigration and maintained the prevailing European dominant ethnic mix of the U.S. population. The Immigration Act of 1965 revolutionized this process by making available up to 20,000 visas for every independent foreign state and demolishing the ethnic status quo. The door to to greatly increased immigration from countries in Asia, Africa, Central and South America was opened. Not surprisingly, there was a political backlash seeking to limit non-European immigration, led by those ethnic groups in America who lost the greatest share of the immigration pie under the new scheme.
As a compromise, Congress created the diversity lottery program, outside of the established yearly visa limits, to benefit immigrants from those countries that were most adversely affected by the new worldwide access to U.S. visas. The numbers and percentages available to each country change yearly, subject to a complex formula and determined by the attorney general. In addition, applicants must meet strict eligibility criteria, and the time and manner of application is rigorously controlled. Applying for the diversity lottery is not equivalent to purchasing a lottery ticket. Although the choosing of the winners is random, the pool of applicants is severely limited.
How to apply for the Diversity Lottery Program
Eligibility criteria
You must be a citizen of a country that the attorney general has determined is from a “low admission region.” In the most recent lottery, citizens of the following countries were deemed not eligible: Brazil, Canada, China (mainland-born), Colombia, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, India, Jamaica, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, South Korea, United Kingdom (except Northern Ireland) and its dependent territories, and Vietnam. Detailed list of countries whose citizens are eligible are listed at http://travel.state.gov/pdf/1318-DV2012Instructions-ENGL.pdf.
You possess a high school diploma;
You must have at least two years of work experience within the past five years in an occupation requiring at least two years of training or experience.
Application process
You must apply on-line according to instructions found at http://travel.state.gov/pdf/1318-DV2012Instructions-ENGL.pdf.
You must use the DV entry form available for download at http://www.dvlottery.state.gov.
You must apply by a specific date that will be stated on the website. Applications for 2012 closed on Nov. 3, 2010.
You will be able to track the status of your entry electronically. This will be the sole means of checking the status of your application.
When your status indicates that you have been selected, you will receive instructions on how to proceed. You will not receive email or mail notification of your selection.
What does this all mean for foreign residents of the CNMI?
First of all, it means that Diversity Visa Lottery is an unlikely path to U.S. immigration status for many foreign residents of the CNMI. Some of largest foreign groups, from the Philippines and from mainland China, are specifically excluded. Citizens of Bangladesh, Taiwan, Thailand, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR are included. For those to whom the lottery is available, you must be very careful and make sure you follow the instructions on the government website. If you think you have been a target or a victim of a Diversity Visa Lottery scam you need to report it to one or more of the following: econsumer.gov website, hosted by the Federal Trade Commission, in cooperation with consumer-protection agencies from 17 nations (http://www.econsumer.gov/english/). You may also report fraud to the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Internet Crime Complaint Center. To file a complaint about unsolicited email, visit the Department of Justice Contact Us page.

Shaw Capital Management Headlines : Warning signs | World Headlines: Shaw Capital Management


A recent spate of ‘vulnerable to deterioration’ judgements has prompted grumblings that the housing watchdog is handing out tougher rulings. So is it? The Tenant Services Authority’s Jonathan Walters reveals all
Regulatory judgements are one of the key ways in which the housing regulator communicates its views about the sector and individual landlords to the wider world. The Tenant Services Authority, like the Housing Corporation before it, publishes regular judgements on providers that are regarded as key documents by a range of stakeholders including lenders, credit rating agencies, local authorities as well as the boards of providers themselves.
These documents contain the TSA’s view of whether the provider meets its governance and financial viability standard and contain separate judgements on both the viability and governance of the organisation. In recent times, some of the gradings have generated headlines suggesting that the regulator is becoming harsher in its approach to grading the sector, specifically handing out more J2 ratings, used to denote a landlord which meets expectations but is ‘vulnerable to deterioration’. This is far from the case.
The TSA uses a four-point scale when making viability judgements – J1 to J4. The first two of these confirm that the provider is meeting the regulator’s expectations, while the last two indicate a failure to meet our standards. This is the same four-point scale used by the Housing Corporation and is well understood by lenders and providers alike.
The split of judgements across the sector has remained constant for the past few years. The table shows the percentage split across the four viability judgements over the past three years. It shows that since the 2008 credit crunch, roughly a third of the sector has received a J2 viability judgement. Although the individual associations receiving a J2 will vary, the numbers are consistent.
Clear trend
The most significant change in the grading of providers came in 2008 when the number of J2 gradings rose from around 20 per cent of the sector to the current position of around a third. This was not a reflection of any change in approach by the regulator but was an inevitable consequence of the more difficult trading environment that providers faced, and have continued to face since then.
Receiving a J2 viability judgement from the TSA does not mean that the regulator regards the organisation as likely to fail. It does mean that there are a range of risks that, if not managed successfully, could have a negative impact on the provider’s viability; for example, if an organisation’s credit lines only extend for 12 months. The criteria used to reach this conclusion have been consistent for the last few years and are centred on the underlying financial strength of the organisation and how likely it is to deliver the assumptions it has used to develop its business plan.
It is very rare for a J2 rating to convert into a J3 as organisations are usually able to manage the risks involved. In the small number of cases where this is not possible the regulator is able to intervene effectively.
Spotting risks early
The reason a J2 viability judgement is considered to meet the TSA standard is that our analysis shows there is no immediate threat to the provider’s financial viability, but there are business risks above the norm which need to be managed actively. Many of these risks relate to normal business activities undertaken by providers, whether it is, for example, building new homes, engaging in regeneration activity or taking transfers of stock from local authorities. It would not be appropriate for the regulator to seek to eliminate risk from the sector; rather, we should concentrate scarce resources on robust identification and management of risk by providers.
Having a J2 viability judgement from the regulator is not a bad-ge of shame. It shows an organisation has risks it is currently managing and that the regulator is alert to that.
To maintain the confidence of stakeholders it is important the regulator keeps a consistent and robust approach to assessing organisations. This means we will always need to identify providers with additional risks and this will not change when responsibility moves to the Homes and Communities Agency next year.
Jonathan Walters is deputy director of regulatory operations at the TSA
Housing association viability judgement ratings
Judgement
2009%
2010%
2011%
J1: meets expectations
67.0
63.0
64.7
J2: meets expectations but with exposures
31.3
35.6
34.1
J3: concern
1.7
1.4
1.2
J4: serious concern
0
0
0
TOTAL
100
100
100
Case study: handling a ‘vulnerable’ ruling
Trafford Housing Trust, a 9,000-home stock transfer organisation, received a ‘vulnerable to deterioration’ judgement from the housing watchdog in February. Here, chief executive Matthew Gardiner describes his response:
‘The Tenant Services Authority’s regulatory judgement is an important document. When it was issued, it said our business “had exposures that made it vulnerable to deterioration”. But what does that really mean for a six-year-old organisation at a time of economic austerity?
‘It is a well-accepted pattern that new stock transfers always get the “vulnerable to deterioration” strapline. We knew ahead of publication that ours would again say that, despite our business plan having more headroom than ever before. We also suspected that it would gain some press coverage as a result. Despite our transfer promises to tenants being met; despite the fact we have trimmed more than £1 million from our running costs in 2010/11 (when turnover was around £35 million) and despite our programme of stock improvement achieving decent homes standards within the required timescale, we have still to reach the point where we start to repay debt.
‘Yet we don’t believe the underlying business is in any way suspect or “vulnerable” (well, no more vulnerable than any other housing association managing the potential impacts of more than 35 changes to the benefit system over the next three years). That we haven’t reached peak debt is entirely down to the fact that we work our assets hard (as successive regulators have encouraged us to do) and that as we work in an area of significant housing need, we have chosen to raise around £20 million in new debt to maintain our current development levels and build around 300 homes over the next three years.
‘So the impact of the judgement? We had to spend some time fielding calls from and making calls to key partners. For example, the local council with which we are delivering a major project of more than 1,000 new homes rang to enquire if we could continue with it.
‘Developer partners needed reassurance that our partnerships were unaffected (we watch their credit standings carefully, so it was no surprise that they do the same).
‘The press showed some, passing, interest. And within the organisation, while the board and senior team understood the judgement’s meaning, there were questions and anxieties from more junior staff to deal with.
‘Even though this was the same judgement we’ve always received, the context this time was different. For a week or so effort was diverted towards managing the message and away from delivering for customers.
‘It was a different story with our bank; being close to the trust, it understood our finances, recognised the true strength of our stock, management, balance sheet and revenue streams and came back with encouragement to borrow more money for further development.
‘So a clearer explanation of the TSA’s judgement straplines would be a good thing (as would a guaranteed week’s notice of their publication date to help get internal and external communications in place). In austere times we are all “vulnerable to deterioration”; but that’s not the test. We face a world of significantly increased risk – the real test is whether boards and executive teams have plans in place to prevent that risk from crystallising.’

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